Updated GOP Delegate Preliminary Totals
After 3/22 primaries.
The above chart will be updated throughout the Primary Season.
The Legacy Media (a.k.a. MSM) and the RINO GOP Establishment (GOPe) have been going out of their way to make the race for the GOP Presidential Nomination appear close, when in fact, it is anything but close. This page has been created to not only publicize the the number of delegates that each candidate has been allocated, but to put the numbers into a visual format, that brings the numbers into real perspective.
The important point to note about the delegate totals is that now, this race is a 2-person race and it’s not, as Ted Cruz would have you believe, between him and Donald Trump. It’s between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. That’s because, for Cruz to reach the 1,237 threshold, he would have to win 91% of the remaining 848 delegates. That’s not going to happen. Also, the Establishment hates Cruz more than they fear Trump. But they know that Cruz can’t win, which is why they now find it safe to support his as a spoiler candidate for Trump. It’s a safe bet that if it goes to a brokered convention, Cruz won’t be allowed to get anywhere near the nomination.
There are 848 delegates remaining to be allocated after the March 22 states voted. Cruz has 464 total delegates. So to reach 1,237 delegates, Cruz would have to get 773 more delegates (1,237-464=773). That’s 91% of the 848 remaining delegates (773/848=91.2%).
This means that there is no remotely reasonable scenario, where Cruz can win the 1,237 delegates to take the nomination from Trump.
Therefore, the only possible reason why Cruz is staying in the race is because he has gone over to the Dark Side (joined the GOP Establishment) and like Kasich, it trying to help the GOP Elite get to a brokered convention, so they can pick our candidate for us. Of course, as mentioned above, the Establishment hates Cruz even more than they fear Trump. So a brokered convention would certainly produce a nominee who has not been in the race, up to that time, like maybe Boehner, Ryan, or worse. But in such case, you can bet that the running-mate would be Jeb Bush.
A brokered convention is an Establishment dream, because it gives the GOP Elite the opportunity to select their choice for the nomination, without the interference of us pesky voters, who don’t understand that conservatism is only something that a politician talks about, not something that he is supposed to actually practice.
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The above chart shows where the top three ranking candidates stand on allocated delegates, including how they fared in each state. It will be updated throughout the Primary Season, as soon as possible, as more states allocate delegates. During election nights, expect to see this chart updated more than once, as returns roll in. Election night updates will be based upon calculations that are, themselves, based on the delegate allocation rules for each state. The chart will then be refined over the next day or two, as the official numbers are published. For example, we calculated that Trump won 10 delegates in New Hampshire, on election night, while Rubio won 3. But after all the votes were counted, the New Hampshire GOP allotted 11 to Trump and 2 to Rubio. The chart was updated to reflect that change within 24 hours. (As a side note, most of the major media is still reporting the incorrect, out-of-date New Hampshire numbers.) We check back on the official totals every few days, so if the official numbers change the above chart should change within a couple of days.
Also, since Rubio has dropped out, he has been removed from the chart. Kasich is not included, because it is mathematically impossible for him to reach 1,237 delegates and he is staying in the race, only to help the Establishment undermine the will of Republican voters.
This page uses data from many sources, including various news organizations, the state GOP websites, press releases, and data from The Green Papers. We particularly want to acknowledge The Green Papers, for their work in bringing all of the state allocation models used for our calculations, into one easy place to access.
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